Carnin: Vivons Ensemble A Carnin won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Carnin (Nord, INSEE 59133) has 847 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 847registered voters
- 58%turnout, 2026 round one
- 43.5%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 493 voted, 428 valid votes
- Vivons Ensemble A CarninNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 428 · 15 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
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About Carnin
Carnin is a commune in Nord with 847 registered voters, the 354th largest of the département's 647 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 58.2% of them voted, more than the 54.3% across Nord, and Vivons Ensemble A Carnin won 15 of the council's 15 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 33.6%, National Rally 30.6%, France Unbowed 12.7%. France Unbowed did 9 points worse here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 43.5%, with Édouard Philippe on 18.1%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Carnin from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 43.5% · France 34.2%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 18.1% · France 14.3%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 13.2% · France 13.4%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 9.1% · France 16.8%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.7% · France 7.6%
- Marine TondelierGreens 4.0% · France 2.9%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.8% · France 3.8%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.9% · France 2.1%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.1% · France 2.0%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 33.6% · National Rally 30.6% · France Unbowed 12.7% · Greens 6.1% · Reconquête 5.6%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
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