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Saint-Paul: Emmanuel Séraphin's list won the town hall in 2026; Jean-Luc Mélenchon would lead here in 2027

Saint-Paul (La Réunion, INSEE 97415) has 89,425 registered voters. Its council has 55 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 51,710 voted, 49,644 valid votes

  1. LISTE CONDUITE PAR EMMANUEL SÉRAPHINLed by Emmanuel Séraphin · Union of the left 55.7% · 27,670 · 43 seats
  2. NOUS, LES SAINT-PAULOISLed by Cyrille Melchior · Miscellaneous right 44.3% · 21,974 · 12 seats

Round one, 15 March · 45,172 voted, 43,102 valid votes

  1. LISTE CONDUITE PAR EMMANUEL SÉRAPHINUnion of the left 47.2% · 20,325
  2. NOUS, LES SAINT-PAULOISMiscellaneous right 34.2% · 14,728
  3. POUR SAINT-PAULMiscellaneous right 11.2% · 4,815
  4. RASSEMBLEMENT SAINT PAULOISRassemblement National 5.9% · 2,563
  5. SAINT-PAUL EN MOUVEMENTMiscellaneous centre 1.6% · 671

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

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About Saint-Paul

Saint-Paul is a commune in La Réunion with 89,425 registered voters, the 2nd largest of the département's 24 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 50.5% of them voted, fewer than the 55.3% across La Réunion, and the list led by Emmanuel Séraphin won 43 of the council's 55 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted France Unbowed 41.3%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 21%, National Rally 18.5%. France Unbowed did 19 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Jean-Luc Mélenchon ahead on 32.4%, with Marine Le Pen on 29.2%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Saint-Paul from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 32.4% · France 16.8%
  2. Marine Le PenNational Rally 29.2% · France 34.2%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 13.6% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 10.7% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.7% · France 7.6%
  6. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.5% · France 2.1%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.2% · France 3.8%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 2.1% · France 2.9%
  9. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.0% · France 0.6%
  10. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 0.7% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 41.3% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 21.0% · National Rally 18.5% · Reconquête 4.2% · Greens 3.4%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in La Réunion

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