Ayros-Arbouix: AYROS-ARBOUIX, AUJOURD'HUI POUR DEMAIN won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Ayros-Arbouix (Hautes-Pyrénées, INSEE 65055) has 272 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 272registered voters
- 56%turnout, 2026 round one
- 28.6%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 152 voted, 150 valid votes
- AYROS-ARBOUIX, AUJOURD'HUI POUR DEMAINNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 150 · 11 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
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About Ayros-Arbouix
Ayros-Arbouix is a commune in Hautes-Pyrénées with 272 registered voters, the 117th largest of the département's 466 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 55.9% of them voted, fewer than the 62.8% across Hautes-Pyrénées, and AYROS-ARBOUIX, AUJOURD'HUI POUR DEMAIN won 11 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 26%, France Unbowed 25.6%, National Rally 14.6%. National Rally did 9 points worse here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 28.6%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 22.5%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Ayros-Arbouix from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 28.6% · France 34.2%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 22.5% · France 16.8%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 15.7% · France 14.3%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 13.3% · France 13.4%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 5.4% · France 3.8%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.3% · France 7.6%
- Marine TondelierGreens 4.2% · France 2.9%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.9% · France 2.1%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.4% · France 2.0%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.7% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 26.0% · France Unbowed 25.6% · National Rally 14.6% · Others 11.9% · Reconquête 8.2%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Hautes-Pyrénées
- Calavanté273 voters · No label (small commune)
- Orincles273 voters · No label (small commune)
- Barlest271 voters · No label (small commune)
- Aragnouet269 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saint-Paul276 voters · No label (small commune)
- Bernac-Dessus277 voters · No label (small commune)
- Ancizan267 voters · No label (small commune)
- Sénac267 voters · No label (small commune)