France Prochaine élection18 avr 2027dans 167 jours Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendrier Bilan des sondages Recherche
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Haute-Garonne

Thil: Pour bien vivre à Thil, continuons ensemble won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Thil (Haute-Garonne, INSEE 31553) has 917 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 406 voted, 343 valid votes

  1. Pour bien vivre à Thil, continuons ensembleNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 343 · 15 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Thil

Thil is a commune in Haute-Garonne with 917 registered voters, the 157th largest of the département's 586 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 44.3% of them voted, fewer than the 58.7% across Haute-Garonne, and Pour bien vivre à Thil, continuons ensemble won 15 of the council's 15 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 24.9%, France Unbowed 21.7%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 20.3%. Ensemble (Macron camp) did 7 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 39.1%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 16.6%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Thil from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 39.1% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 16.6% · France 16.8%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 13.7% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 10.9% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.0% · France 7.6%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 4.4% · France 3.8%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 3.8% · France 2.9%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.5% · France 2.1%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.2% · France 2.0%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.9% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 24.9% · France Unbowed 21.7% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 20.3% · Others 8.5% · Reconquête 7.8%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Haute-Garonne

Every commune in Haute-Garonne → · All of France →