France Prochaine élection18 avr 2027dans 167 jours Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendrier Bilan des sondages Recherche
Closest

Cazaunous: BIEN VIVRE A CAZAUNOUS won the town hall in 2026; Jean-Luc Mélenchon would lead here in 2027

Cazaunous (Haute-Garonne, INSEE 31131) has 82 registered voters. Its council has 7 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 79 voted, 76 valid votes

  1. BIEN VIVRE A CAZAUNOUSNo label (small commune) 84.2% · 64 · 7 seats
  2. ENSEMBLE POUR NOTRE VILLAGENo label (small commune) 15.8% · 12

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cazaunous

Cazaunous is a commune in Haute-Garonne with 82 registered voters, the 497th largest of the département's 586 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 96.3% of them voted, more than the 58.7% across Haute-Garonne, and BIEN VIVRE A CAZAUNOUS won 7 of the council's 7 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted France Unbowed 41.5%, National Rally 15.1%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 13.2%. France Unbowed did 20 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Jean-Luc Mélenchon ahead on 30.8%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 23.8%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Cazaunous from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 30.8% · France 16.8%
  2. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 23.8% · France 13.4%
  3. Marine Le PenNational Rally 23.5% · France 34.2%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 6.4% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 6.1% · France 7.6%
  6. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 5.6% · France 2.1%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.8% · France 3.8%
  8. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.9% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 41.5% · National Rally 15.1% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 13.2% · Others 7.6% · Reconquête 5.7%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Haute-Garonne

Every commune in Haute-Garonne → · All of France →