France Prochaine élection18 avr 2027dans 167 jours Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendrier Bilan des sondages Recherche
Closest

Gujan-Mestras: Xavier Paris's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Gujan-Mestras (Gironde, INSEE 33199) has 19,043 registered voters. Its council has 35 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 11,206 voted, 11,012 valid votes

  1. GUJAN-MESTRAS à COEURLed by Xavier Paris · Miscellaneous right 45.6% · 5,021 · 26 seats
  2. NATURELLEMENT CHAUVET AGIR POUR GUJAN-MESTRASLed by Jacques Chauvet · Miscellaneous 30.5% · 3,359 · 6 seats
  3. RASSEMBLONS-NOUS POUR AGIRLed by Fabrice Weber · Rassemblement National 13.8% · 1,520 · 2 seats
  4. Liste citoyenne Gujan-Mestras 2026Led by Cédric François · Miscellaneous left 10.1% · 1,112 · 1 seat

Round one, 15 March · 11,682 voted, 11,499 valid votes

  1. GUJAN-MESTRAS à COEURMiscellaneous right 42.0% · 4,834
  2. NATURELLEMENT CHAUVET AGIR POUR GUJAN-MESTRASMiscellaneous 24.8% · 2,848
  3. RASSEMBLONS-NOUS POUR AGIRRassemblement National 14.7% · 1,693
  4. Liste citoyenne Gujan-Mestras 2026Miscellaneous left 11.1% · 1,281
  5. Protéger Gujan-Mestras, préparer l'avenir.Miscellaneous 7.3% · 843

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Gujan-Mestras

Gujan-Mestras is a commune in Gironde with 19,043 registered voters, the 9th largest of the département's 534 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 61.3% of them voted, more than the 58.7% across Gironde, and the list led by Xavier Paris won 26 of the council's 35 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 31.9%, National Rally 23.4%, France Unbowed 14.4%. France Unbowed did 8 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 36.2%, with Édouard Philippe on 17.7%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Gujan-Mestras from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 36.2% · France 34.2%
  2. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 17.7% · France 14.3%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 13.4% · France 13.4%
  4. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 10.7% · France 16.8%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 8.7% · France 7.6%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 5.1% · France 3.8%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 2.9% · France 2.9%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.8% · France 2.1%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.9% · France 2.0%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.5% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 31.9% · National Rally 23.4% · France Unbowed 14.4% · Reconquête 8.9% · Republicans 5.4%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Gironde

Every commune in Gironde → · All of France →