France Prochaine élection18 avr 2027dans 167 jours Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendrier Bilan des sondages Recherche
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Gironde

Cestas: CESTAS DE L'HERITAGE A L'AVENIR won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Cestas (Gironde, INSEE 33122) has 14,667 registered voters. Its council has 33 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 9,783 voted, 9,642 valid votes

  1. CESTAS DE L'HERITAGE A L'AVENIRMiscellaneous left 55.0% · 5,299 · 26 seats
  2. DEMAIN CESTASMiscellaneous centre 30.2% · 2,913 · 5 seats
  3. RASSEMBLEMENT CESTADAISRassemblement National 14.8% · 1,430 · 2 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cestas

Cestas is a commune in Gironde with 14,667 registered voters, the 15th largest of the département's 534 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 66.7% of them voted, more than the 58.7% across Gironde, and CESTAS DE L'HERITAGE A L'AVENIR won 26 of the council's 33 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 34.1%, France Unbowed 18.6%, National Rally 17.9%. Ensemble (Macron camp) did 7 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 29.2%, with Édouard Philippe on 19.5%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Cestas from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 29.2% · France 34.2%
  2. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 19.5% · France 14.3%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 16.5% · France 13.4%
  4. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 14.0% · France 16.8%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 7.9% · France 7.6%
  6. Marine TondelierGreens 4.5% · France 2.9%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.2% · France 3.8%
  8. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.7% · France 2.0%
  9. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.9% · France 2.1%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 34.1% · France Unbowed 18.6% · National Rally 17.9% · Greens 6.5% · Reconquête 6.0%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Gironde

Every commune in Gironde → · All of France →