Varaville: VARAVILLE UNIE won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Varaville (Calvados, INSEE 14724) has 937 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 937registered voters
- 68%turnout, 2026 round one
- 37.5%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 638 voted, 621 valid votes
- VARAVILLE UNIENo label (small commune) 63.9% · 397 · 13 seats
- BIEN VIVRE A VARAVILLENo label (small commune) 36.1% · 224 · 2 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
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What changes hands
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About Varaville
Varaville is a commune in Calvados with 937 registered voters, the 127th largest of the département's 526 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 68.1% of them voted, more than the 58.2% across Calvados, and VARAVILLE UNIE won 13 of the council's 15 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 33.1%, National Rally 26.1%, Republicans 10.2%. France Unbowed did 12 points worse here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 37.5%, with Édouard Philippe on 17.5%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Varaville from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 37.5% · France 34.2%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 17.5% · France 14.3%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 14.4% · France 7.6%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 12.1% · France 13.4%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 6.9% · France 16.8%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 4.0% · France 3.8%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.9% · France 2.0%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.8% · France 2.1%
- Marine TondelierGreens 1.6% · France 2.9%
In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 33.1% · National Rally 26.1% · Republicans 10.2% · France Unbowed 9.7% · Reconquête 7.7%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Calvados
- Tourville-sur-Odon939 voters · No label (small commune)
- Ablon940 voters · No label (small commune)
- Cesny-les-Sources941 voters · No label (small commune)
- Beuvillers942 voters · No label (small commune)
- Fontenay-le-Pesnel948 voters · No label (small commune)
- Méry-Bissières-en-Auge919 voters · No label (small commune)
- Cresserons959 voters · No label (small commune)
- Moulins-en-Bessin911 voters · No label (small commune)