Surrain: Ensemble pour Surrain won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Surrain (Calvados, INSEE 14681) has 127 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 127registered voters
- 61%turnout, 2026 round one
- 50.3%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 78 voted, 61 valid votes
- Ensemble pour SurrainNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 61 · 11 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
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What changes hands
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About Surrain
Surrain is a commune in Calvados with 127 registered voters, the 462nd largest of the département's 526 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 61.4% of them voted, more than the 58.2% across Calvados, and Ensemble pour Surrain won 11 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 36%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 31%, France Unbowed 13%. National Rally did 13 points better here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 50.3%, with Édouard Philippe on 16.2%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Surrain from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 50.3% · France 34.2%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 16.2% · France 14.3%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 9.3% · France 16.8%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 8.3% · France 13.4%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 6.6% · France 7.6%
- Marine TondelierGreens 4.7% · France 2.9%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.5% · France 3.8%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.1% · France 2.1%
In 2022, round one here: National Rally 36.0% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 31.0% · France Unbowed 13.0% · Greens 7.0% · Reconquête 5.0%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Calvados
- Meuvaines127 voters · No label (small commune)
- Barneville-la-Bertran126 voters · No label (small commune)
- Colombiers-sur-Seulles126 voters · No label (small commune)
- La Bazoque129 voters · No label (small commune)
- Cordebugle129 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saint-Louet-sur-Seulles129 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saint-Omer129 voters · No label (small commune)
- Ducy-Sainte-Marguerite130 voters · No label (small commune)