Luc-sur-Mer: DYNAMISME ET SOLIDARITE won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Luc-sur-Mer (Calvados, INSEE 14384) has 2,831 registered voters. Its council has 23 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 2,831registered voters
- 66%turnout, 2026 round one
- 28.1%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 1,857 voted, 1,815 valid votes
- DYNAMISME ET SOLIDARITENo label (small commune) 70.9% · 1,287 · 20 seats
- LUC, NOTRE BIEN COMMUNNo label (small commune) 29.1% · 528 · 3 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
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About Luc-sur-Mer
Luc-sur-Mer is a commune in Calvados with 2,831 registered voters, the 37th largest of the département's 526 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 65.6% of them voted, more than the 58.2% across Calvados, and DYNAMISME ET SOLIDARITE won 20 of the council's 23 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 34.1%, France Unbowed 20.3%, National Rally 16.9%. National Rally did 7 points worse here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 28.1%, with Édouard Philippe on 19.6%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Luc-sur-Mer from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 28.1% · France 34.2%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 19.6% · France 14.3%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 15.4% · France 16.8%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 14.5% · France 13.4%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 10.2% · France 7.6%
- Marine TondelierGreens 3.8% · France 2.9%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.2% · France 3.8%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.9% · France 2.0%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.6% · France 2.1%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.7% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 34.1% · France Unbowed 20.3% · National Rally 16.9% · Republicans 6.3% · Reconquête 6.0%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Calvados
- Biéville-Beuville2,798 voters · Miscellaneous centre
- Thury-Harcourt-le-Hom2,795 voters · Miscellaneous centre
- Isigny-sur-Mer2,794 voters · Miscellaneous
- Hermanville-sur-Mer2,891 voters · No label (small commune)
- Troarn2,770 voters · No label (small commune)
- Villers-sur-Mer2,720 voters · No label (small commune)
- Touques2,708 voters · Miscellaneous right
- Argences3,007 voters · Miscellaneous centre