Le Mesnil-Simon: AGIR POUR L'AVENIR won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Le Mesnil-Simon (Calvados, INSEE 14425) has 146 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 146registered voters
- 61%turnout, 2026 round one
- 37.8%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 89 voted, 77 valid votes
- AGIR POUR L'AVENIRNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 77 · 11 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Le Mesnil-Simon
Le Mesnil-Simon is a commune in Calvados with 146 registered voters, the 437th largest of the département's 526 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 61% of them voted, more than the 58.2% across Calvados, and AGIR POUR L'AVENIR won 11 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 25.5%, National Rally 25.5%, France Unbowed 19.1%. Greens did 5 points better here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 37.8%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 13.9%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Le Mesnil-Simon from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 37.8% · France 34.2%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 13.9% · France 16.8%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 13.5% · France 7.6%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 12.9% · France 14.3%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 8.5% · France 13.4%
- Marine TondelierGreens 6.4% · France 2.9%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 3.3% · France 2.0%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.9% · France 2.1%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.9% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 25.5% · National Rally 25.5% · France Unbowed 19.1% · Greens 9.1% · Republicans 9.1%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Calvados
- Courcy146 voters · No label (small commune)
- Le Theil-en-Auge147 voters · No label (small commune)
- Leffard145 voters · No label (small commune)
- Bourgeauville144 voters · No label (small commune)
- Victot-en-Auge143 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saint-Pierre-Azif150 voters · No label (small commune)
- La Boissière142 voters · No label (small commune)
- La Folletière-Abenon142 voters · No label (small commune)