Avenay: AVENAY 2026 won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Avenay (Calvados, INSEE 14034) has 424 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 424registered voters
- 47%turnout, 2026 round one
- 32.0%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 201 voted, 176 valid votes
- AVENAY 2026No label (small commune) 100.0% · 176 · 15 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
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About Avenay
Avenay is a commune in Calvados with 424 registered voters, the 229th largest of the département's 526 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 47.4% of them voted, fewer than the 58.2% across Calvados, and AVENAY 2026 won 15 of the council's 15 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 32.1%, France Unbowed 23.1%, National Rally 19.8%. Ensemble (Macron camp) did 5 points better here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 32%, with Édouard Philippe on 18.1%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Avenay from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 32.0% · France 34.2%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 18.1% · France 14.3%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 17.6% · France 16.8%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 12.5% · France 13.4%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 6.5% · France 7.6%
- Marine TondelierGreens 5.1% · France 2.9%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.6% · France 2.1%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.5% · France 2.0%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.1% · France 3.8%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.0% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 32.1% · France Unbowed 23.1% · National Rally 19.8% · Greens 7.2% · Reconquête 3.9%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Calvados
- Ryes423 voters · No label (small commune)
- Nonant422 voters · No label (small commune)
- Le Torquesne421 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saint-Laurent-de-Condel430 voters · No label (small commune)
- Gavrus414 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saint-Loup-Hors412 voters · No label (small commune)
- Surville412 voters · No label (small commune)
- Versainville412 voters · No label (small commune)