France Prochaine élection18 avr 2027dans 167 jours Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendrier Bilan des sondages Recherche
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Bouches-du-Rhône

Châteaurenard: Marcel Martel's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Châteaurenard (Bouches-du-Rhône, INSEE 13027) has 11,743 registered voters. Its council has 33 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 7,526 voted, 7,326 valid votes

  1. CHÂTEAURENARD AVEC VOUSLed by Marcel Martel · Miscellaneous centre 44.0% · 3,227 · 24 seats
  2. CHÂTEAURENARD AVEC CONVICTIONLed by Chantal Alex · Rassemblement National 39.5% · 2,896 · 7 seats
  3. TOUS UNIS POUR CHATEAURENARDLed by Vincent Lescot · Miscellaneous right 16.4% · 1,203 · 2 seats

Round one, 15 March · 7,210 voted, 7,076 valid votes

  1. CHÂTEAURENARD AVEC VOUSMiscellaneous centre 30.1% · 2,132
  2. CHÂTEAURENARD AVEC CONVICTIONRassemblement National 29.6% · 2,098
  3. TOUS UNIS POUR CHATEAURENARDMiscellaneous right 16.2% · 1,143
  4. ENSEMBLE POUR LE CHATEAURENARD DE DEMAINMiscellaneous right 13.6% · 961
  5. A CHATEAURENARD L'HUMAIN D'ABORDMiscellaneous left 6.8% · 483
  6. Les Apis ChâteaurenardMiscellaneous centre 3.7% · 259

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Châteaurenard

Châteaurenard is a commune in Bouches-du-Rhône with 11,743 registered voters, the 19th largest of the département's 119 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 61.4% of them voted, more than the 56.2% across Bouches-du-Rhône, and the list led by Marcel Martel won 24 of the council's 33 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 33.6%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 21.2%, France Unbowed 16.8%. National Rally did 10 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 46.2%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 11.7%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Châteaurenard from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 46.2% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 11.7% · France 16.8%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 11.2% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 10.3% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 8.2% · France 7.6%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 6.1% · France 3.8%
  7. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.6% · France 2.1%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 1.8% · France 2.9%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.5% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 33.6% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 21.2% · France Unbowed 16.8% · Reconquête 10.7% · Republicans 5.4%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Bouches-du-Rhône

Every commune in Bouches-du-Rhône → · All of France →