Erstein: Kévin Diebold's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Erstein (Bas-Rhin, INSEE 67130) has 8,022 registered voters. Its council has 33 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 8,022registered voters
- 51%turnout, 2026 round one
- 43.2%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round two, 22 March · 4,161 voted, 4,018 valid votes
- ERSTEIN DEMAINLed by Kévin Diebold · Miscellaneous right 53.8% · 2,163 · 26 seats
- POUR ERSTEIN !Led by Alain Stenger · Miscellaneous centre 46.2% · 1,855 · 7 seats
Round one, 15 March · 4,062 voted, 3,938 valid votes
- ERSTEIN DEMAINMiscellaneous right 38.3% · 1,509
- POUR ERSTEIN !Miscellaneous centre 35.2% · 1,387
- Erstein-Krafft, autrementMiscellaneous centre 26.5% · 1,042
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Erstein
Erstein is a commune in Bas-Rhin with 8,022 registered voters, the 11th largest of the département's 513 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 50.6% of them voted, fewer than the 55.8% across Bas-Rhin, and the list led by Kévin Diebold won 26 of the council's 33 seats after a second round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 30.2%, National Rally 29.7%, France Unbowed 15.6%. France Unbowed did 6 points worse here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 43.2%, with Édouard Philippe on 15.9%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Erstein from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 43.2% · France 34.2%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 15.9% · France 14.3%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 12.1% · France 13.4%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 11.3% · France 16.8%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 6.4% · France 7.6%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.4% · France 3.8%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.1% · France 2.1%
- Marine TondelierGreens 2.6% · France 2.9%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.3% · France 2.0%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 30.2% · National Rally 29.7% · France Unbowed 15.6% · Reconquête 6.6% · Greens 4.2%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Bas-Rhin
- Saverne8,218 voters · Miscellaneous right
- Hoenheim7,817 voters · Miscellaneous centre
- Ostwald8,413 voters · Miscellaneous centre
- Brumath7,560 voters · Miscellaneous
- Bischwiller7,294 voters · Miscellaneous
- Bischheim9,483 voters · Miscellaneous right
- Obernai9,677 voters · Miscellaneous right
- Molsheim6,606 voters · Miscellaneous