France Prochaine élection18 avr 2027dans 167 jours Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendrier Bilan des sondages Recherche
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Aveyron

Sévérac d'Aveyron: AVENIR SEVERAC won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Sévérac d'Aveyron (Aveyron, INSEE 12270) has 3,534 registered voters. Its council has 29 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 2,638 voted, 2,503 valid votes

  1. AVENIR SEVERACMiscellaneous centre 58.8% · 1,473 · 23 seats
  2. SEVERAC CITOYEN 2026Miscellaneous left 41.2% · 1,030 · 6 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Sévérac d'Aveyron

Sévérac d'Aveyron is a commune in Aveyron with 3,534 registered voters, the 8th largest of the département's 284 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 74.6% of them voted, more than the 67.3% across Aveyron, and AVENIR SEVERAC won 23 of the council's 29 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 23.9%, National Rally 21.4%, France Unbowed 19.3%. Others did 9 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 34.7%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 18.1%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Sévérac d'Aveyron from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 34.7% · France 34.2%
  2. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 18.1% · France 13.4%
  3. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 14.8% · France 16.8%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 12.9% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 8.5% · France 7.6%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.2% · France 3.8%
  7. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.8% · France 2.0%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 2.5% · France 2.9%
  9. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.9% · France 2.1%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 23.9% · National Rally 21.4% · France Unbowed 19.3% · Others 12.1% · Reconquête 5.8%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Aveyron

Every commune in Aveyron → · All of France →