Espalion: TOUS UNIS POUR ESPALION won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Espalion (Aveyron, INSEE 12096) has 3,692 registered voters. Its council has 27 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 3,692registered voters
- 71%turnout, 2026 round one
- 33.0%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 2,621 voted, 2,556 valid votes
- TOUS UNIS POUR ESPALIONMiscellaneous right 52.4% · 1,339 · 21 seats
- CHANGEONS POUR ESPALIONMiscellaneous right 47.6% · 1,217 · 6 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
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About Espalion
Espalion is a commune in Aveyron with 3,692 registered voters, the 7th largest of the département's 284 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 71% of them voted, more than the 67.3% across Aveyron, and TOUS UNIS POUR ESPALION won 21 of the council's 27 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 30.8%, National Rally 20.9%, France Unbowed 14.4%. France Unbowed did 8 points worse here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 33%, with Édouard Philippe on 16.8%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Espalion from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 33.0% · France 34.2%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 16.8% · France 14.3%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 15.4% · France 13.4%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 12.8% · France 7.6%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 10.7% · France 16.8%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.9% · France 3.8%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.4% · France 2.1%
- Marine TondelierGreens 2.4% · France 2.9%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.9% · France 2.0%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 30.8% · National Rally 20.9% · France Unbowed 14.4% · Republicans 8.3% · Reconquête 7.3%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Aveyron
- Sévérac d'Aveyron3,534 voters · Miscellaneous centre
- Decazeville3,524 voters · Miscellaneous centre
- Capdenac-Gare3,403 voters · Miscellaneous right
- Luc-la-Primaube4,672 voters · Miscellaneous right
- Aubin2,859 voters · No label (small commune)
- Olemps2,782 voters · Miscellaneous left
- Sébazac-Concourès2,588 voters · No label (small commune)
- Bozouls2,471 voters · No label (small commune)