Aubin: DEMAIN UN NOUVEL AUBIN won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Aubin (Aveyron, INSEE 12013) has 2,859 registered voters. Its council has 23 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 2,859registered voters
- 57%turnout, 2026 round one
- 36.3%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 1,633 voted, 1,504 valid votes
- DEMAIN UN NOUVEL AUBINNo label (small commune) 51.0% · 767 · 18 seats
- UNIS ET SOLIDAIRES ALLONS PLUS LOIN POUR AUBINNo label (small commune) 49.0% · 737 · 5 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
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What changes hands
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About Aubin
Aubin is a commune in Aveyron with 2,859 registered voters, the 11th largest of the département's 284 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 57.1% of them voted, fewer than the 67.3% across Aveyron, and DEMAIN UN NOUVEL AUBIN won 18 of the council's 23 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted France Unbowed 30.7%, National Rally 24.3%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 18.6%. Ensemble (Macron camp) did 9 points worse here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 36.3%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 23.3%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Aubin from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 36.3% · France 34.2%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 23.3% · France 16.8%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 14.6% · France 13.4%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 9.4% · France 14.3%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.7% · France 7.6%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 4.5% · France 2.0%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.4% · France 3.8%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.8% · France 2.1%
- Marine TondelierGreens 1.3% · France 2.9%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 30.7% · National Rally 24.3% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 18.6% · Others 6.4% · Communist Party 4.9%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Aveyron
- Olemps2,782 voters · Miscellaneous left
- Sébazac-Concourès2,588 voters · No label (small commune)
- Bozouls2,471 voters · No label (small commune)
- Druelle Balsac2,422 voters · No label (small commune)
- Capdenac-Gare3,403 voters · Miscellaneous right
- Baraqueville2,356 voters · No label (small commune)
- Decazeville3,524 voters · Miscellaneous centre
- Sévérac d'Aveyron3,534 voters · Miscellaneous centre