Carlipa: Ensemble pour CARLIPA won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Carlipa (Aude, INSEE 11070) has 238 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 238registered voters
- 65%turnout, 2026 round one
- 48.3%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 154 voted, 116 valid votes
- Ensemble pour CARLIPANo label (small commune) 100.0% · 116 · 11 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Carlipa
Carlipa is a commune in Aude with 238 registered voters, the 194th largest of the département's 433 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 64.7% of them voted, close to the 64.6% across Aude, and Ensemble pour CARLIPA won 11 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 35.9%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 17.2%, France Unbowed 16.7%. National Rally did 13 points better here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 48.3%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 15.2%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Carlipa from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 48.3% · France 34.2%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 15.2% · France 13.4%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 11.4% · France 16.8%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 8.2% · France 14.3%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 4.6% · France 7.6%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.6% · France 2.1%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.6% · France 3.8%
- Marine TondelierGreens 2.7% · France 2.9%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.3% · France 2.0%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.0% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: National Rally 35.9% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 17.2% · France Unbowed 16.7% · Reconquête 7.3% · Others 5.7%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Aude
- Cailhau238 voters · No label (small commune)
- Ginoles236 voters · No label (small commune)
- Roquetaillade-et-Conilhac241 voters · No label (small commune)
- Gaja-et-Villedieu235 voters · No label (small commune)
- Villeneuve-lès-Montréal235 voters · No label (small commune)
- Les Brunels243 voters · No label (small commune)
- La Digne-d'Amont233 voters · No label (small commune)
- Tournissan245 voters · No label (small commune)