Montaillou: UN AVENIR POUR MONTAILLOU won the town hall in 2026; Jean-Luc Mélenchon would lead here in 2027
Montaillou (Ariège, INSEE 09197) has 48 registered voters. Its council has 7 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 48registered voters
- 73%turnout, 2026 round one
- 39.4%Jean-Luc Mélenchon, 2027 round one here (France: 16.8%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 35 voted, 30 valid votes
- UN AVENIR POUR MONTAILLOUNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 30 · 7 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
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What changes hands
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About Montaillou
Montaillou is a commune in Ariège with 48 registered voters, the 292nd largest of the département's 325 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 72.9% of them voted, more than the 64% across Ariège, and UN AVENIR POUR MONTAILLOU won 7 of the council's 7 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted France Unbowed 42.9%, Others 17.9%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 14.3%. France Unbowed did 21 points better here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Jean-Luc Mélenchon ahead on 39.4%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 22.3%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Montaillou from how it voted in 2022.
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 39.4% · France 16.8%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 22.3% · France 13.4%
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 17.2% · France 34.2%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 8.5% · France 14.3%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 4.4% · France 3.8%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 3.8% · France 2.0%
- Marine TondelierGreens 2.6% · France 2.9%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 1.7% · France 7.6%
In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 42.9% · Others 17.9% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 14.3% · National Rally 7.1% · Reconquête 7.1%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Ariège
- Génat49 voters · No label (small commune)
- Gestiès49 voters · No label (small commune)
- Bouan47 voters · No label (small commune)
- Lapège47 voters · No label (small commune)
- Pradettes47 voters · No label (small commune)
- Bagert50 voters · No label (small commune)
- Château-Verdun50 voters · No label (small commune)
- Lanoux46 voters · No label (small commune)