Guincourt: Ensemble continuons won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Guincourt (Ardennes, INSEE 08204) has 71 registered voters. Its council has 9 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 71registered voters
- 94%turnout, 2026 round one
- 55.8%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 67 voted, 66 valid votes
- Ensemble continuonsNo label (small commune) 78.8% · 52 · 9 seats
- Pour un choix de voteNo label (small commune) 21.2% · 14
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
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What changes hands
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About Guincourt
Guincourt is a commune in Ardennes with 71 registered voters, the 359th largest of the département's 446 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 94.4% of them voted, more than the 57.3% across Ardennes, and Ensemble continuons won 9 of the council's 9 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 44.1%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 17%, France Unbowed 10.2%. National Rally did 21 points better here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 55.8%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 12.2%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Guincourt from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 55.8% · France 34.2%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 12.2% · France 13.4%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 9.4% · France 7.6%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 7.8% · France 14.3%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 6.7% · France 16.8%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.2% · France 2.1%
- Marine TondelierGreens 1.9% · France 2.9%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.3% · France 2.0%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 0.8% · France 3.8%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.8% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: National Rally 44.1% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 17.0% · France Unbowed 10.2% · Others 8.5% · Republicans 6.8%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Ardennes
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- Bayonville70 voters · No label (small commune)
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- Longwé70 voters · No label (small commune)
- Touligny70 voters · No label (small commune)