France Prochaine élection18 avr 2027dans 167 jours Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendrier Bilan des sondages Recherche
Closest

Marcenat: ENSEMBLE POUR L'AVENIR DE MARCENAT won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Marcenat (Allier, INSEE 03160) has 289 registered voters. Its council has 9 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 164 voted, 155 valid votes

  1. ENSEMBLE POUR L'AVENIR DE MARCENATNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 155 · 9 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Marcenat

Marcenat is a commune in Allier with 289 registered voters, the 172nd largest of the département's 315 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 56.7% of them voted, fewer than the 60.3% across Allier, and ENSEMBLE POUR L'AVENIR DE MARCENAT won 9 of the council's 9 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 30.5%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 27.8%, France Unbowed 15.7%. National Rally did 7 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 44%, with Édouard Philippe on 14.1%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Marcenat from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 44.0% · France 34.2%
  2. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 14.1% · France 14.3%
  3. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 11.3% · France 16.8%
  4. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 9.8% · France 13.4%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 9.7% · France 7.6%
  6. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.8% · France 2.1%
  7. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 3.2% · France 2.0%
  8. Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.3% · France 3.8%
  9. Marine TondelierGreens 1.7% · France 2.9%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 30.5% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 27.8% · France Unbowed 15.7% · Republicans 6.3% · Others 4.5%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Allier

Every commune in Allier → · All of France →