France's battleground: Eure-et-Loir 2e is the closest

1. Eure-et-Loir 2eEure-et-Loir RN and allies 21%, Left (NFP and other left) next gain from LR and other right
2. Drôme 4eDrôme RN and allies 21%, Left (NFP and other left) next hold
3. Ain 1reAin RN and allies 23%, Left (NFP and other left) next gain from LR and other right
4. Cher 1reCher Left (NFP and other left) 26%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
5. Haut-Rhin 6eHaut-Rhin RN and allies 27%, Left (NFP and other left) next gain from Ensemble and centre
6. Marne 2eMarne Left (NFP and other left) 27%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
7. Yvelines 2eYvelines Left (NFP and other left) 30%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
8. Seine-et-Marne 5eSeine-et-Marne RN and allies 31%, Left (NFP and other left) next gain from Ensemble and centre
9. Vienne 3eVienne Left (NFP and other left) 32%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
10. Yvelines 1reYvelines Left (NFP and other left) 33%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
11. Seine-et-Marne 6eSeine-et-Marne Left (NFP and other left) 33%, RN and allies next gain from RN and allies
12. Maine-et-Loire 2eMaine-et-Loire Left (NFP and other left) 33%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
13. Var 1reVar RN and allies 34%, Left (NFP and other left) next gain from Ensemble and centre
14. Eure-et-Loir 1reEure-et-Loir Left (NFP and other left) 34%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
15. Gironde 1reGironde Left (NFP and other left) 34%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
16. Morbihan 3eMorbihan Left (NFP and other left) 35%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
17. Rhône 10eRhône Left (NFP and other left) 35%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
18. Nièvre 1reNièvre RN and allies 36%, Left (NFP and other left) next gain from Ensemble and centre
19. Ain 5eAin RN and allies 36%, Left (NFP and other left) next hold
20. Ardennes 1reArdennes RN and allies 36%, Left (NFP and other left) next hold
21. Charente 2eCharente RN and allies 37%, Left (NFP and other left) next gain from Ensemble and centre
22. Haute-Garonne 5eHaute-Garonne Left (NFP and other left) 41%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
23. Yvelines 10eYvelines Left (NFP and other left) 41%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
24. Côtes-d'Armor 2eCôtes-d'Armor Left (NFP and other left) 42%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
25. Moselle 1reMoselle Left (NFP and other left) 42%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
26. Haute-Savoie 5eHaute-Savoie Left (NFP and other left) 42%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
27. Rhône 11eRhône Left (NFP and other left) 42%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
28. Oise 7eOise RN and allies 42%, Left (NFP and other left) next hold
29. Deux-Sèvres 1reDeux-Sèvres Left (NFP and other left) 43%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
30. Loire 3eLoire Left (NFP and other left) 43%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
31. Charente-Maritime 3eCharente-Maritime Left (NFP and other left) 44%, RN and allies next hold
32. Haut-Rhin 3eHaut-Rhin Ensemble and centre 44%, RN and allies next hold
33. Indre-et-Loire 3eIndre-et-Loire Left (NFP and other left) 44%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
34. Creuse 1reCreuse Left (NFP and other left) 44%, RN and allies next gain from RN and allies
35. Haute-Corse 2eHaute-Corse LR and other right 44%, RN and allies next hold
36. Ain 2eAin RN and allies 44%, Left (NFP and other left) next gain from Ensemble and centre
37. Rhône 8eRhône Left (NFP and other left) 44%, RN and allies next gain from RN and allies
38. Nord 9eNord Left (NFP and other left) 45%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
39. Ain 3eAin Left (NFP and other left) 45%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
40. Sarthe 5eSarthe Left (NFP and other left) 45%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
41. Yonne 2eYonne Ensemble and centre 46%, RN and allies next gain from RN and allies
42. Côtes-d'Armor 5eCôtes-d'Armor Left (NFP and other left) 46%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
43. Lot-et-Garonne 3eLot-et-Garonne Left (NFP and other left) 46%, RN and allies next gain from LR and other right
44. Sarthe 4eSarthe Left (NFP and other left) 46%, RN and allies next hold
45. Orne 1reOrne Left (NFP and other left) 47%, RN and allies next hold
46. Hauts-de-Seine 13eHauts-de-Seine Ensemble and centre 47%, Left (NFP and other left) next hold
47. Tarn 1reTarn Left (NFP and other left) 47%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
48. Loiret 1reLoiret Left (NFP and other left) 47%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
49. Yvelines 11eYvelines Left (NFP and other left) 47%, RN and allies next gain from LR and other right
50. Rhône 5eRhône Left (NFP and other left) 48%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
51. Gironde 9eGironde Left (NFP and other left) 48%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
52. Moselle 2eMoselle Left (NFP and other left) 49%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
53. Morbihan 2eMorbihan Left (NFP and other left) 49%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
54. Haute-Savoie 2eHaute-Savoie Left (NFP and other left) 49%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
55. Doubs 3eDoubs RN and allies 50%, Left (NFP and other left) next hold
56. Sarthe 1reSarthe Left (NFP and other left) 50%, RN and allies next gain from Ensemble and centre
57. Alpes-Maritimes 3eAlpes-Maritimes RN and allies 50%, Left (NFP and other left) next hold
58. Gironde 5eGironde Left (NFP and other left) 50%, RN and allies next hold
59. Gironde 10eGironde RN and allies 51%, Left (NFP and other left) next gain from Ensemble and centre
60. Français établis hors de France 7eD099 Left (NFP and other left) 51%, Ensemble and centre next gain from Ensemble and centre

Nothing matches.

Gains among the closest

• Left (NFP and other left) from Ensemble and centre 32
• RN and allies from Ensemble and centre 7
• Left (NFP and other left) from RN and allies 3
• RN and allies from LR and other right 2
• Left (NFP and other left) from LR and other right 2
• Ensemble and centre from RN and allies 1

Round two: what the 577 contests would look like

A candidate with 12.5% of registered voters in round one goes through; the top two always do. On our projection, after the usual withdrawals:

• 490duels
• 81won in round one
• 6three-way round twos

The commonest duels

• Left (NFP and other left) v RN and allies292 circonscriptions
• LR and other right v RN and allies72 circonscriptions
• Ensemble and centre v RN and allies68 circonscriptions
• Ensemble and centre v Left (NFP and other left)28 circonscriptions
• Left (NFP and other left) v LR and other right9 circonscriptions
• Others and regionalists v LR and other right8 circonscriptions
• Others and regionalists v RN and allies6 circonscriptions
• Left (NFP and other left) v Others and regionalists5 circonscriptions

Every seat → · The map → · What if the polls are wrong? →