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Ejea de los Caballeros: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Ejea de los Caballeros (Zaragoza, 17,124 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 32.8% of the vote (2023: 36.3%) Majority 4%
ASÍ EJEA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 17.6% of the vote (2023: 16.8%) Majority 0%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 17.3% of the vote (2023: 18.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%
IU−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 6.5% of the vote (2023: 9.1%) Majority 0%
CIUDADANOS-TÚ ARAGÓN±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.7% of the vote (2023: 5.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Ejea de los Caballeros

Ejea de los Caballeros is a municipality in the province of Zaragoza with 17,124 inhabitants, the 4th largest of its 293 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 36.3% of the vote and 7 seats; PP was second with 3. 66.1% of the 12,088 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 7 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 36.3% → 32.8% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. ASÍ EJEALocal lists 16.8% → 17.6% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 18.2% → 17.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 7.6% → 13.4% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. IUSumar, Podemos and allies 9.1% → 6.5% 2 → 1 councillors
  6. CIUDADANOS-TÚ ARAGÓNLocal lists 5.4% → 5.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. CHALocal lists 4.8% → 5.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,992 valid votes including 138 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ejea de los Caballeros in size, in Zaragoza

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