Caspe: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Caspe (Zaragoza, 10,220 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 4,237valid votes in 2023 (69% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Caspe
Caspe is a municipality in the province of Zaragoza with 10,220 inhabitants, the 7th largest of its 293 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 31.2% of the vote and 6 seats; PSOE was second with 5. 68.8% of the 6,160 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 17.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 31.2% → 29.3% 6 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 27.3% → 23.1% 5 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 10.0% → 16.0% 1 → 3 councillors
- #SOMOSCASPELocal lists 15.1% → 15.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- CHALocal lists 14.6% → 14.7% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,237 valid votes including 76 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.