Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Caspe: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Caspe (Zaragoza, 10,220 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 29.3% of the vote (2023: 31.2%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 23.1% of the vote (2023: 27.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.0% of the vote (2023: 10.0%) Majority 0%
#SOMOSCASPE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 15.1% of the vote (2023: 15.1%) Majority 0%
CHA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.7% of the vote (2023: 14.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 31.2% → 29.3% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 27.3% → 23.1% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.0% → 16.0% 1 → 3 councillors
  4. #SOMOSCASPELocal lists 15.1% → 15.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  5. CHALocal lists 14.6% → 14.7% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,237 valid votes including 76 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Caspe in size, in Zaragoza

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