Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Torres del Carrizal: no list would have a majority, I.U. largest

Torres del Carrizal (Zamora, 415 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

I.U.±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 42.9% of the vote (2023: 44.7%) Majority 29%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 32.0% of the vote (2023: 29.5%) Majority under 1%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 24.1% of the vote (2023: 24.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 71% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Torres del Carrizal

Torres del Carrizal is a municipality in the province of Zamora with 415 inhabitants, the 59th largest of its 248 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 I.U. came first with 44.7% of the vote and 3 seats; PP was second with 2. 84.1% of the 359 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: I.U. would be largest on 3 of 7.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 44.7% → 42.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PPPP 29.5% → 32.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 24.8% → 24.1% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 302 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Torres del Carrizal in size, in Zamora

Every municipality in Zamora → · All of Spain →