Roales: VOX would keep its majority
Roales (Zamora, 1,001 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%VOX majority
- 530valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Roales
Roales is a municipality in the province of Zamora with 1,001 inhabitants, the 16th largest of its 248 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 VOX came first with 51.5% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 67.5% of the 785 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps VOX on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- VOXVox 51.5% → 61.4% 5 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 20.8% → 17.1% 2 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 21.5% → 15.8% 2 → 1 councillors
- ZSILocal lists 6.0% → 5.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 530 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.