Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Moraleja del Vino: PP would keep its majority

Moraleja del Vino (Zamora, 1,756 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 46.1% of the vote (2023: 46.5%) Majority 68%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 31.2% of the vote (2023: 34.7%) Majority 1%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.3% of the vote (2023: 9.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 31% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Moraleja del Vino

Moraleja del Vino is a municipality in the province of Zamora with 1,756 inhabitants, the 6th largest of its 248 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 46.5% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 63.2% of the 1,423 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 68% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 46.5% → 46.1% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 34.7% → 31.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.0% → 15.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 7.3% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. ZSILocal lists 0.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 899 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Moraleja del Vino in size, in Zamora

Every municipality in Zamora → · All of Spain →