Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Ferreras de Arriba: no list would have a majority, VDV largest

Ferreras de Arriba (Zamora, 359 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

VDV±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 33.1% of the vote (2023: 31.7%) Majority 0%
ZSI±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 29.2% of the vote (2023: 27.9%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.8% of the vote (2023: 24.5%) Majority 0%
U.P.L.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.0% of the vote (2023: 12.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Ferreras de Arriba

Ferreras de Arriba is a municipality in the province of Zamora with 359 inhabitants, the 74th largest of its 248 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 VDV came first with 31.7% of the vote and 2 seats; ZSI was second with 2. 79.6% of the 333 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: VDV would be largest on 2 of 7.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. VDVLocal lists 31.7% → 33.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  2. ZSILocal lists 27.9% → 29.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 24.5% → 23.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. U.P.L.Local lists 12.5% → 13.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PSOEPSOE 2.6% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 265 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ferreras de Arriba in size, in Zamora

Every municipality in Zamora → · All of Spain →