Fermoselle: ZSI would keep its majority
Fermoselle (Zamora, 1,128 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%ZSI majority
- 787valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Fermoselle
Fermoselle is a municipality in the province of Zamora with 1,128 inhabitants, the 11th largest of its 248 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 ZSI came first with 67.2% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 1. 78.2% of the 1,006 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps ZSI on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ZSILocal lists 67.2% → 66.5% 7 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 16.4% → 14.7% 1 → 1 councillors
- FLocal lists 11.8% → 11.7% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 2.5% → 6.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 1.4% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 787 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.