Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Quintanilla de Onésimo: PSOE would keep its majority

Quintanilla de Onésimo (Valladolid, 1,014 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 51.8% of the vote (2023: 56.9%) Majority 79%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 29.7% of the vote (2023: 30.9%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.1% of the vote (2023: 9.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 21% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Quintanilla de Onésimo

Quintanilla de Onésimo is a municipality in the province of Valladolid with 1,014 inhabitants, the 39th largest of its 225 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 56.9% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 77.3% of the 846 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 79% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 56.9% → 51.8% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 30.9% → 29.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.8% → 16.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 654 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Quintanilla de Onésimo in size, in Valladolid

Every municipality in Valladolid → · All of Spain →