Carpio: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Carpio (Valladolid, 967 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 46%PP majority
- 670valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 47.6% of the vote (2023: 49.0%)
Majority 46%
PSOE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 37.3% of the vote (2023: 41.8%)
Majority 9%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 14.2% of the vote (2023: 8.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 45% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 49.0% → 47.6% 4 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 41.8% → 37.3% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 8.4% → 14.2% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 670 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.