Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Laguna de Duero: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Laguna de Duero (Valladolid, 22,642 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 26.0% of the vote (2023: 27.0%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 21.7% of the vote (2023: 25.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.5% of the vote (2023: 10.1%) Majority 0%
IL±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 14.9% of the vote (2023: 14.4%) Majority 0%
XLD±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.3% of the vote (2023: 10.0%) Majority 0%
TLP−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.8% of the vote (2023: 10.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Laguna de Duero

Laguna de Duero is a municipality in the province of Valladolid with 22,642 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 225 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 27% of the vote and 6 seats; PSOE was second with 6. 61.8% of the 18,246 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 6 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 27.0% → 26.0% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 25.1% → 21.7% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.1% → 16.5% 2 → 4 councillors
  4. ILLocal lists 14.4% → 14.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  5. XLDLocal lists 10.0% → 10.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. TLPSumar, Podemos and allies 10.7% → 7.8% 2 → 1 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 1.5% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 11,268 valid votes including 122 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Laguna de Duero in size, in Valladolid

Every municipality in Valladolid → · All of Spain →