Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Rafelcofer: ACORD PER GUANYAR would keep its majority

Rafelcofer (Valencia/València, 1,386 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ACORD PER GUANYAR±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 61.1% of the vote (2023: 61.5%) Majority over 99%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.5% of the vote (2023: 23.0%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 13.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Rafelcofer

Rafelcofer is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 1,386 inhabitants, the 156th largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 ACORD PER GUANYAR came first with 61.5% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 78.5% of the 1,109 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps ACORD PER GUANYAR on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 61.5% → 61.1% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 23.0% → 22.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 13.8% → 14.6% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 871 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Rafelcofer in size, in Valencia/València

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