Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Chiva: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Chiva (Valencia/València, 16,285 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 25.1% of the vote (2023: 25.5%) Majority under 1%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 8.3%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 16.1%) Majority 0%
ACTIVA CHIVA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.3% of the vote (2023: 11.6%) Majority 0%
ADUC±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.7% of the vote (2023: 10.1%) Majority 0%
VINCHI±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.1% of the vote (2023: 7.7%) Majority 0%
COMPROMIS−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 10.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Chiva

Chiva is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 16,285 inhabitants, the 37th largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 25.5% of the vote and 6 seats; PSOE was second with 3. 67.7% of the 12,406 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 25.5% → 25.1% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. VOXVox 8.3% → 14.6% 1 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 16.1% → 13.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. ACTIVA CHIVALocal lists 11.6% → 12.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. ADUCLocal lists 10.1% → 10.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. VINCHILocal lists 7.7% → 8.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. COMPROMISSumar, Podemos and allies 10.0% → 7.3% 2 → 1 councillors
  8. CHIVA SOMOS TODOSLocal lists 4.5% → 4.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. EUPV - PODEMOS: UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 4.9% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,401 valid votes including 99 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Chiva in size, in Valencia/València

Every municipality in Valencia/València → · All of Spain →