Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Carlet: PP would keep its majority

Carlet (Valencia/València, 15,945 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 49.9% of the vote (2023: 49.6%) Majority 68%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 17.9% of the vote (2023: 20.7%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 17.6% of the vote (2023: 21.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.8% of the vote (2023: 6.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 32% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 49.6% → 49.9% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 20.7% → 17.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 21.2% → 17.6% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 6.2% → 11.8% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. AMERC 1.6% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,775 valid votes including 58 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Carlet in size, in Valencia/València

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