Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Yeles: PSOE would keep its majority

Yeles (Toledo, 5,868 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 49.3% of the vote (2023: 53.4%) Majority 73%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 27.8% of the vote (2023: 28.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 18.0% of the vote (2023: 11.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 27% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 53.4% → 49.3% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 28.5% → 27.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.0% → 18.0% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 4.3% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. AQUI AHORALocal lists 1.5% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,336 valid votes including 30 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Yeles in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →