Ugena: PSOE would keep its majority
Ugena (Toledo, 5,615 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 72%PSOE majority
- 2,530valid votes in 2023 (60% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 50.5% of the vote (2023: 55.1%)
Majority 72%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 20.3% of the vote (2023: 21.2%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
3
councillors (2023: 1) · 20.2% of the vote (2023: 12.8%)
Majority 0%
JXU−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 6.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 28% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 55.1% → 50.5% 8 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 21.2% → 20.3% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 12.8% → 20.2% 1 → 3 councillors
- JXULocal lists 6.4% → 6.7% 1 → 0 councillors
- UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 3.3% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,530 valid votes including 28 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.