Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Méntrida: PSOE would keep its majority

Méntrida (Toledo, 5,722 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 44.9% of the vote (2023: 49.5%) Majority 47%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.8% of the vote (2023: 24.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.1% of the vote (2023: 15.1%) Majority 0%
UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.8% of the vote (2023: 6.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 53% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 49.5% → 44.9% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 24.9% → 23.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 15.1% → 23.1% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 6.3% → 3.8% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. UCINLocal lists 3.3% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,496 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Méntrida in size, in Toledo

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