Méntrida: PSOE would keep its majority
Méntrida (Toledo, 5,722 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 53%no list with a majority
- 2,496valid votes in 2023 (57% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 53% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Méntrida
Méntrida is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 5,722 inhabitants, the 23rd largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 49.5% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 57.5% of the 4,341 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 47% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 49.5% → 44.9% 7 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 24.9% → 23.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 15.1% → 23.1% 2 → 3 councillors
- UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 6.3% → 3.8% 1 → 0 councillors
- UCINLocal lists 3.3% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,496 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.