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Villafranca de los Caballeros: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Villafranca de los Caballeros (Toledo, 4,884 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 46.7% of the vote (2023: 51.8%) Majority 42%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 34.6% of the vote (2023: 36.0%) Majority 2%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.0% of the vote (2023: 10.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 56% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Villafranca de los Caballeros

Villafranca de los Caballeros is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 4,884 inhabitants, the 33rd largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 51.8% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 78% of the 3,994 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 51.8% → 46.7% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 36.0% → 34.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.6% → 17.0% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,114 valid votes including 53 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Villafranca de los Caballeros in size, in Toledo

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