Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Nambroca: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Nambroca (Toledo, 5,020 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 37.5% of the vote (2023: 38.6%) Majority 7%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 37.1% of the vote (2023: 41.2%) Majority 7%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.6% of the vote (2023: 13.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 86% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 38.6% → 37.5% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 41.2% → 37.1% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 13.2% → 20.6% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 5.2% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,637 valid votes including 48 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Nambroca in size, in Toledo

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