Carranque: no list would have a majority, VOX largest
Carranque (Toledo, 5,155 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 96%no list with a majority
- 2,495valid votes in 2023 (64% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
VOX+2
5
councillors (2023: 3) · 34.7% of the vote (2023: 25.2%)
Majority 3%
PP−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 30.6% of the vote (2023: 32.9%)
Majority 1%
PSOE−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 22.8% of the vote (2023: 27.3%)
Majority 0%
AQUI AHORA±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.9% of the vote (2023: 6.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- VOXVox 25.2% → 34.7% 3 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 32.9% → 30.6% 5 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 27.3% → 22.8% 4 → 3 councillors
- AQUI AHORALocal lists 6.9% → 6.9% 1 → 1 councillors
- UNIDAS - PODEMOS - IUSumar, Podemos and allies 6.4% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,495 valid votes including 31 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.