Miguel Esteban: PP would keep its majority
Miguel Esteban (Toledo, 4,791 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 89%PP majority
- 2,709valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
7
councillors (2023: 6) · 59.0% of the vote (2023: 56.9%)
Majority 89%
PSOE−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 39.0% of the vote (2023: 41.1%)
Majority 11%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 56.9% → 59.0% 6 → 7 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 41.1% → 39.0% 5 → 4 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,709 valid votes including 53 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Miguel Esteban in size, in Toledo
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- Mocejón5,004 inhabitants · 13 councillors