Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Talavera de la Reina: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Talavera de la Reina (Toledo, 83,247 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
11 councillors (2023: 12) · 39.9% of the vote (2023: 44.4%) Majority 16%
PP−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 30.9% of the vote (2023: 32.1%) Majority 1%
VOX+2
6 councillors (2023: 4) · 22.3% of the vote (2023: 14.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 83% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 44.4% → 39.9% 12 → 11 councillors
  2. PPPP 32.1% → 30.9% 9 → 8 councillors
  3. VOXVox 14.6% → 22.3% 4 → 6 councillors
  4. NT-EVLocal lists 3.0% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 3.7% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. AQUI AHORALocal lists 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 39,437 valid votes including 537 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Talavera de la Reina in size, in Toledo

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