Ocaña: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
Ocaña (Toledo, 13,185 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 96%no list with a majority
- 4,936valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 36.9% of the vote (2023: 41.7%)
Majority 3%
PP±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 29.3% of the vote (2023: 30.8%)
Majority under 1%
VOX+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 24.6% of the vote (2023: 16.6%)
Majority 0%
AQUI AHORA±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 7.0% of the vote (2023: 6.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 41.7% → 36.9% 8 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 30.8% → 29.3% 5 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 16.6% → 24.6% 3 → 4 councillors
- AQUI AHORALocal lists 6.8% → 7.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- CONTIGOLocal lists 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- UNIDAS-PODEMOS-IUSumar, Podemos and allies 2.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,936 valid votes including 52 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.