Ocaña: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
Ocaña (Toledo, 13,185 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 96%no list with a majority
- 4,936valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Ocaña
Ocaña is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 13,185 inhabitants, the 6th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 41.7% of the vote and 8 seats; PP was second with 5. 61.1% of the 8,076 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 7 of 17.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 41.7% → 36.9% 8 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 30.8% → 29.3% 5 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 16.6% → 24.6% 3 → 4 councillors
- AQUI AHORALocal lists 6.8% → 7.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- CONTIGOLocal lists 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- UNIDAS-PODEMOS-IUSumar, Podemos and allies 2.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,936 valid votes including 52 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.