Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Illescas: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Illescas (Toledo, 30,553 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
10 councillors (2023: 11) · 45.8% of the vote (2023: 50.3%) Majority 35%
PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 30.8% of the vote (2023: 31.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 20.8% of the vote (2023: 13.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 65% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 50.3% → 45.8% 11 → 10 councillors
  2. PPPP 31.8% → 30.8% 7 → 7 councillors
  3. VOXVox 13.3% → 20.8% 3 → 4 councillors
  4. UNIDAS - PODEMOS - IUSumar, Podemos and allies 3.5% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 12,798 valid votes including 147 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Illescas in size, in Toledo

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