Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Seseña: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Seseña (Toledo, 28,102 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 40.3% of the vote (2023: 42.2%) Majority 26%
VOX+3
6 councillors (2023: 3) · 24.5% of the vote (2023: 16.6%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 19.0% of the vote (2023: 22.7%) Majority 0%
TXS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.6% of the vote (2023: 5.5%) Majority 0%
MSѱ0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.2% of the vote (2023: 5.2%) Majority 0%
UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.0% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 74% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 42.2% → 40.3% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. VOXVox 16.6% → 24.5% 3 → 6 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 22.7% → 19.0% 5 → 4 councillors
  4. TXSLocal lists 5.5% → 5.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. MSÑLocal lists 5.2% → 5.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 6.6% → 4.0% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,541 valid votes including 120 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Seseña in size, in Toledo

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