Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Santa Cruz de la Zarza: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Santa Cruz de la Zarza (Toledo, 4,097 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 36.9% of the vote (2023: 36.5%) Majority 4%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 29.9% of the vote (2023: 32.5%) Majority under 1%
UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOS−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 20.8% of the vote (2023: 24.4%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 11.8% of the vote (2023: 6.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 95% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 36.5% → 36.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 32.5% → 29.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 24.4% → 20.8% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 6.1% → 11.8% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,630 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santa Cruz de la Zarza in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →